Open interest on Bitcoin options contracts expiring next Friday amounts to $930 million, but what price action should be expected?
Much attention has been paid to the Bitcoin options and futures market and each week crypto media reports on new record open interest figures being achieved. As the date of another futures and options expiry approaches, traders are becoming anxious due to the fact that the Bitcoin (BTC) price has consistently failed to surpass the $10K mark.
To date more than 100,000 Bitcoin options totaling $930 million are set to expire on June 26 totaling and this figure represents nearly 70% of its entire open interest. On June 15 Bitcoin price pulled back to $8,900 and this led investors to question whether professional traders have turned bearish as the June 26 expiry date approaches.
Although open interest doesn’t allow one to predict a market trend, it is possible to gain more insight by analyzing additional data such as the put/call ratio. This indicator provides a clear picture of investors’ sentiment as call options are mostly used for bullish strategies.
Data from Skew shows that open interest reached $1.3 billion which is a 100% increase over the last two months. Currently, Panama-based derivatives exchange Deribit accounts for 77% of the options market, albeit regulated venues such as CME and LedgerX are consistently gaining relevance.